Tag: volatility

This Trade Works Like Clockwork

The past few weeks we’ve been enjoying the sights and sounds of Colombia with a group of friends, a country which has gradually been dragging itself out of a nightmarish civil war, constantly overshadowed and closely tied to drug cartel wars which pepper it’s history. Much of that seems a

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Soap Bubble
Financial Markets
Chris MacIntosh

The Anatomy of a Carry Trade Bubble

Last week I discussed some very important things, not the least of which was how to get rock hard abs. Equally as important is how asymmetry builds in nature and in financial markets. Today I wanted to continue the discussion. A question posed by a reader prompted me to think about

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The Market is Simply NOT Expecting This to Happen

To succeed in investing you essentially have to beat the majority of other investors. This will not be achieved by thinking like everyone else. You will have to think and act differently to everyone else. How do most people think when it comes to trading, or at least what do

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This WILL Happen!

All pegs break! Capital flows have shifted. They are heading from the periphery back to the core. It’s a rotten core but it’s the only core we have. That core for the time being is the greenback. It is happening in fits and starts but across almost every currency cross

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When Volatility and Debt Collide

A question to begin today’s discussion… Which is riskier: corporate or public debt? If I lend $1,000 to my neighbour and take his bicycle worth $1,000 as collateral, which is what pawn brokers do, I have a quantifiable risk. I also have collateral which I can trust. I can see, feel

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Stability in Renminbi Offers an XXL Profit Opportunity

As mentioned in my writing on the Singapore dollar, the most dangerous thing in finance is the “thing” that never moves. This stability creates an illusion of control around which many positions are built, the greater the perceived stability the greater the positions, and the more other assumptions and forecasts

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Trading with One of the Best

Fundamentals matter. Every piece of history I’ve read indicates this to be the case. When investing, which is to say placing capital with a long-term view of a particular outcome, fundamental analysis works. Trading the markets however can often involve an entirely different approach and yet be profitable at the

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