To succeed in investing you essentially have to beat the majority of other investors. This will not be achieved by thinking like everyone else. You will have to think and act differently to everyone else. How do most people think when it comes to trading, or at least what do they spend most of their… Read More
A Stealth Bull Market Developing in Gold
There is a bull market developing in gold and few are aware of it. Given the seemingly endless urge to “stimulate” economies by central banks through quantitative easing (money printing), such as the ECB, BOE, & BOJ, it isn’t difficult to imagine that gold’s rally in multi-currency terms is still in its infancy. Ask any… Read More
The US Dollar Bull Market is Alive and Well
If you think that the “bullish USD trade” is too overbought – well, you might have to rethink or at least try not to think too much. My feeling is that the “big” move in the USD we have witnessed over the last 6 months is only just the start of a major move and… Read More
The World’s Biggest Asymmetric Trade Just Got Bigger
Ten days ago China cut interest rates in an effort to free up credit and stimulate the economy. This is unlikely to have much of a positive effect on economic growth in China. Rather it is likely to compound the big problem that the Chinese currently face: exports becoming increasingly uncompetitive. China’s biggest problem is its… Read More
Stability in Renminbi Offers an XXL Profit Opportunity
As mentioned in my writing on the Singapore dollar, the most dangerous thing in finance is the “thing” that never moves. This stability creates an illusion of control around which many positions are built, the greater the perceived stability the greater the positions, and the more other assumptions and forecasts are made. The stability (or… Read More
Why the Singapore Dollar is Staring Into the Abyss
Singapore is regarded as the “safe haven” or Switzerland of Asia. While on the surface Singapore is the economy to which most others can only aspire to one day become, beneath the scenes is a very fragile economy highly dependent on the cost of capital staying low or at least rising very slowly over the… Read More