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asymmetric payoff

Date Updated: March 4, 2016

Can Binge Drinking Really Cure Alcoholism?

Have you ever wondered who these people are? The people who decide how much capital should cost, how much credit and cash should be issued. You know, the twits who dream up QE, ZIRP and NIRP. Where do they come from? Who pays their wages? Where do they get these hair-brained ideas? Are they on… Read More

Written by Chris MacIntosh · Categorized: Financial Markets · Tagged: asymmetric payoff, central banks, China, debt, monetary policy

Date Updated: August 12, 2019

The World’s Biggest Asymmetric Trade Just Got Bigger

Ten days ago China cut interest rates in an effort to free up credit and stimulate the economy. This is unlikely to have much of a positive effect on economic growth in China. Rather it is likely to compound the big problem that the Chinese currently face: exports becoming increasingly uncompetitive. China’s biggest problem is its… Read More

Written by Bradley McFadden · Categorized: Brad, Financial Markets, Trading Ideas · Tagged: asymmetric payoff, China, currencies, renminbi

Date Updated: October 2, 2019

Stability vs Opportunity

Bernie Madoff promised investors above average, consistent year after year mathematically impossible returns. Investors fell for the high returns but what they REALLY fell for was the apparent consistency. The stability or returns, the certainty. Bond funds appeal to investors because they offer stable returns each year. Quantifiable and certain. Mutual funds tend to stuff… Read More

Written by Chris MacIntosh · Categorized: Chris, Financial Markets, Private equity · Tagged: asymmetric payoff, Japanese Yen, stability

Date Updated: November 25, 2019

What a Disaster This Investment Has Been

When I was younger, 16 I think, I wanted to be George Soros. Horror, I know given that there are probably parts of the world I’d be dismembered in the streets for uttering such a comment. Grumpy old bastard with abhorrent political ideas. Yes, all true but at the time I wasn’t focused on any… Read More

Written by Chris MacIntosh · Categorized: Chris, Trading Ideas · Tagged: asymmetric payoff, George Soros, gold mining stocks, Kyle Bass

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