Bitcoin: A Crystal Ball or Luck? – OWTW

A month ago, on 27 April, we said au revoir to our bitcoin holdings. After hanging on to our coins for years (we were bullish on bitcoin since 2014 and recommended it to clients at $450), we sold our entire position. So why the change of heart? As we explained it

Read More »

The Curse of the IPO – OWTW

📉   THE CURSE OF THE IPO One of the best contrarian indicators are major IPOs (or ETF listings) in a particular sector. Looking back, the recent Coinbase IPO appears to perfectly fit that bill. Here’s Bloomberg on the topic: Throughout history, initial public offerings have taken place at peaks of

Read More »

COPPER IS THE NEW OIL – OWTW

🛢️ DATA COPPER IS THE NEW OIL It turns out copper, not data, is the new oil: This prompted us to dust off an old Insider Weekly issue from March 2020, where we highlighted the asymmetry that copper — and a host of other resource markets — offered at the time. Energy, copper,

Read More »

The ESG Joke – OWTW

How come the iShares ESG USA Index (ESGU) has a 2.5% weighting to oil and gas stocks? And how come that weighting is more or less the same as the S&P 500? It’s almost as if we’re being played. While this might get us termed “climate deniers” or whatever the label

Read More »

Cryptomania – OWTW

  CRYPTOMANIA We highlighted the curious case of Dogecoin last week. Just $1,000 into what started as a joke cryptocurrency at the start of the year would now be enough to buy a Tesla. Have you ever seen a chart like this before which ended well? We haven’t. As Chris put

Read More »

Bizarro World – OWTW

🥊 SPACS ARE GETTING SPANKED It was just a few weeks ago when SPACs were all the rage and we saw headlines like these: What a wonderful contrarian indicator that was. Whenever you see the media crowning the next Warren Buffett, we are probably either close to the top or

Read More »

Going Green? Not So Fast! – OWTW

♻️  GOING GREEN? NOT SO FAST! People with experience in politics and none in business tell us oil and gas and coal are energy sources of the yesteryear and we’re instead “going green.“ Not to be a wet blanket, but here’s where our energy currently comes from: We’re being told those

Read More »