Some 12 years ago, on my first trip to China, I found myself pleasantly surprised by almost everything I saw. The high quality and low cost of accommodation, the fantastic roads, and overall infrastructure. I found a friendly people with a truly surprising level of wealth. It was a country
To succeed in investing you essentially have to beat the majority of other investors. This will not be achieved by thinking like everyone else. You will have to think and act differently to everyone else. How do most people think when it comes to trading, or at least what do
The more we look at the Chinese renminbi the more convinced we become that the next serious move will be to the downside and that this will more than likely occur sooner rather than later. Last month I wrote an article “The World’s Biggest Asymmetric Trade Just Got Bigger”. This is
Ten days ago China cut interest rates in an effort to free up credit and stimulate the economy. This is unlikely to have much of a positive effect on economic growth in China. Rather it is likely to compound the big problem that the Chinese currently face: exports becoming increasingly uncompetitive.
It’s over a decade ago now that I first began stomping around Asia and Southeast Asia in particular… longer actually but I prefer not to age myself. At first it was simple fun and adventure – a pretty girl at my side, and the very real fact that I had
As mentioned in my writing on the Singapore dollar, the most dangerous thing in finance is the “thing” that never moves. This stability creates an illusion of control around which many positions are built, the greater the perceived stability the greater the positions, and the more other assumptions and forecasts
I first met Joe in Mongolia last year. He is one of the most fascinating men I’ve had the pleasure of meeting. A spook from the cold war with stories that would not be out of place in any spy novel. Truth truly is stranger than fiction. This is not
The best investors I know place their bets according to probabilities. It’s been over a decade since I moved my life and my capital to the far east. The fundamentals were too important to ignore, and ultimately the fundamentals lead to probabilities. The US government had a plan to counter
