Category: Emerging Markets

The Market is Simply NOT Expecting This to Happen

To succeed in investing you essentially have to beat the majority of other investors. This will not be achieved by thinking like everyone else. You will have to think and act differently to everyone else. How do most people think when it comes to trading, or at least what do

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2014 in the Rear-View Mirror

Each year we have made a habit of taking a look back at what we’ve prognosticated “may” occur during the year and holding the mirror up. Given that we’re at year end 2014, it’s that time again! Sometimes this is a painful exercise, as it’s a clear reminder of how

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The Implications of “Red Monday”

Regular readers will have been very well positioned to take advantage of what is happening in emerging markets and specifically currencies as we can see from the fairly dramatic chart below. We’ve been positioning for a USD bull run for some time now. Back in October we made the call

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What is China’s Banking System Telling Us?

The more we look at the Chinese renminbi the more convinced we become that the next serious move will be to the downside and that this will more than likely occur sooner rather than later. Last month I wrote an article “The World’s Biggest Asymmetric Trade Just Got Bigger”. This is

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This is Real and It’s Happening with Breathtaking Speed

I’ve long since argued that democracy isn’t necessary for prosperity. Rather than railing against democracy I merely am making the point that economic liberty is more important to wealth creation than political liberty. It is a market economy that is the key to unlocking wealth. The reason this is so

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Will the Dollar Bull Market Catch You by Surprise?

A bull market in the US Dollar is underway and its magnitude and duration are likely to catch everyone by surprise. I believe it isn’t out of the question for the USD Index to advance by at least 50% within the next 5 years. If this forecast proves correct, there

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This is the Biggest Risk to the World’s Economy

It’s over a decade ago now that I first began stomping around Asia and Southeast Asia in particular… longer actually but I prefer not to age myself. At first it was simple fun and adventure – a pretty girl at my side, and the very real fact that I had

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What Do Supertankers and Southeast Asia Have in Common?

My son just read me an interesting fact. Did you know that a typical oil tanker will take up to 3km and 45 minutes to complete a 180 degree turn at normal sea speed? He is busy reading me all the facts about the Titanic. He’s enthralled with it because

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