There is a bull market developing in gold and few are aware of it. Given the seemingly endless urge to “stimulate” economies by central banks through quantitative easing (money printing), such as the ECB, BOE, & BOJ, it isn’t difficult to imagine that gold’s rally in multi-currency terms is still
If you think that the “bullish USD trade” is too overbought – well, you might have to rethink or at least try not to think too much. My feeling is that the “big” move in the USD we have witnessed over the last 6 months is only just the start
Each year we have made a habit of taking a look back at what we’ve prognosticated “may” occur during the year and holding the mirror up. Given that we’re at year end 2014, it’s that time again! Sometimes this is a painful exercise, as it’s a clear reminder of how
Regular readers will have been very well positioned to take advantage of what is happening in emerging markets and specifically currencies as we can see from the fairly dramatic chart below. We’ve been positioning for a USD bull run for some time now. Back in October we made the call
Ten days ago China cut interest rates in an effort to free up credit and stimulate the economy. This is unlikely to have much of a positive effect on economic growth in China. Rather it is likely to compound the big problem that the Chinese currently face: exports becoming increasingly uncompetitive.
A bull market in the US Dollar is underway and its magnitude and duration are likely to catch everyone by surprise. I believe it isn’t out of the question for the USD Index to advance by at least 50% within the next 5 years. If this forecast proves correct, there
As mentioned in my writing on the Singapore dollar, the most dangerous thing in finance is the “thing” that never moves. This stability creates an illusion of control around which many positions are built, the greater the perceived stability the greater the positions, and the more other assumptions and forecasts
Having lived in several Frontier Markets, I’ve oft observed that when wacky rules are put into place, creating inefficiencies and costing people money, the free market almost always finds a way around it. This goes for everything from selling vegetables roadside without a permit, hocking gasoline out of soda bottles
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